Number 10 “try to prevent” data on the spread of the new Covid variant in English schools: worldnews


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Yes, kids get it now. The only way this ends up is through the relevant government, closures, and vaccinations until cases reach traceable levels. Immunity wears off with corona viruses.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2021/05/11/covid-surges-in-4-of-5-worlds-most-vaccinated-countries-heres-why-the-us-should- Worry/

The United Kingdom is one of the most vaccinated countries in the world.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-vaccinations-tracker.html

The UK has just printed the first reversal of the trend to the upside since the vaccination campaign began

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/

Injuries among the elderly in nursing homes in the USA are also showing a reversal of the trend to the upside starting 4/4/21.

https://labvegas.com/reinfections

Infection among the elderly is a major indicator because antibodies degrade faster in older adults.

https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/imageserve/5fe0a2eba64cb65886bd533b/960x05x0.fit=scale

This is in line with mathematical modeling using the known iGG half-life and half-life equation of 27 days.

Find the critical antibody threshold resulting from normal infection using the half-life equation:

Nt = No x (0.5) ^ (t / tHalf)

Nt = 100 x (0.5) ^ (90/27)

Nt = 10 (10% of antibodies are from a normal infection)

Find the age of the vaccine, while giving 4 times the antibody caused by the vaccine:

10 = 400 x (0.5) ^ (t / 27)

t = 143 days (after the second dose + 10 days to reach peak immunity) = 153 days

We already know the UK is doing a boost in September so it only makes sense that we would go see that cases start to rise at some point.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2021/apr/28/uk-orders-60m-more-doses-of-pfizer-covid-vaccine-for-booster-jabs

Most importantly, we know that vaccine efficacy decreases with some variables.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EweDwqDWgAQAkuS.jpg

BioNTech CEO says the vaccine is 70% to 75% effective for the India variant

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/20/biontech-ceo-says-vaccine-70-75percent-effective-for-india-variant.html


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