While many debate the internal dynamics in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, global geopolitical shifts are underway that will have a tangible impact on the I / P conflict.
The United States, Israel’s biggest and most powerful ally, is slowly losing global dominance and reducing its presence in the Middle East to focus its efforts on the front against China. Israel will feel more pressure to deal with regional actors on a more level playing field. While this has happened to some extent through the Ibrahim Accords and rumors of a defense pact between Israel, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, and the UAE, there are also indications of confidentiality. Affinity Talks Between Iran, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the Emirates and Egypt. The talks included senior security officials in various countries, including a meeting between a commander Iran’s Quds Force, Esmail Qaani, And the The head of Saudi intelligence, Khaled Al-Humaidan.
Meanwhile, China is increasing its presence in the Middle East through the Belt and Road Initiative, developing a strong relationship with Iran, and showing interest in participating in the Israeli-Palestinian negotiations.
Russia has returned to the region through its participation in the Syrian civil war, and is currently working on holding a high-level meeting of the Middle East Quartet (Russia, the United States, the European Union and the United Nations) to mediate the Israeli-Palestinian peace process.
Iran and Turkey are expanding their dominance across the region, and the United States is on the verge of returning to the Iran nuclear deal as he leaves the region, and Assad has survived the civil war.
What awaits Israel in the face of the new power dynamics and realities in the region? What are your expectations? How should Israel maneuver itself through this new reality? How will these new realities affect the Israeli-Palestinian conflict?