The author states that in 12 of the 16 previous cases in which a rising power confronted a ruling authority, the result was violence. The problem with history is that the bloodshed did not result in events that could end all life on Earth, and this could be caused by a war between China and the United States. In past wars, people have benefited in many ways, in the short term and in the long term. In a war between two superpowers today, there will be no victor. I think that because of this fact, we will be able to prevent such a war.